Drought: the silent evil of Central American migration in the period 1990 to 2019:

Drought: the silent evil of Central American migration in the period 1990 to 2019:

The objective is to analyze in the period 1990 to 2019 the effects of climate and the tendency of individuals to leave a territory, measuring the weight of precipitation or lack thereof in the Central American Dry Corridor. To study this process, a stochastic frontier model was developed. As a prima...

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Hauptverfasser: Fuerte Celis, María del Pilar, Bolaños Guerra, Bernardo, Olivera-Villarroel, Sazcha Marcelo
Format: Online
Sprache:spa
Veröffentlicht: Universidad Autónoma de Baja California 2024
Online Zugang:https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/1158
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spelling oai:ojs.localhost:article-11582024-02-27T21:03:30Z Drought: the silent evil of Central American migration in the period 1990 to 2019: La sequía: el mal silencioso de la migración centroamericana en el periodo 1990 a 2019: Fuerte Celis, María del Pilar Bolaños Guerra, Bernardo Olivera-Villarroel, Sazcha Marcelo migration drought Central American dry corridor frontier model climate change extreme climate events Anthropology Human ecology Environmental influences on humans migración sequia corredor seco de Centroamérica modelo de frontera cambio climático eventos climáticos extremos Antropología Ecología humana Influencias ambientales en humanos The objective is to analyze in the period 1990 to 2019 the effects of climate and the tendency of individuals to leave a territory, measuring the weight of precipitation or lack thereof in the Central American Dry Corridor. To study this process, a stochastic frontier model was developed. As a primary result, it was found that there is a greater tendency to migrate when a drought occurs, understanding it as an extreme event for the environment and society. This tendency is evaluated with a system that includes series of controls such as other extreme weather events such as El Niño (ENSO) and hurricanes, violence levels, economy and exchange rate, which leads to the conclusion that drought above any other climatic event motivates the population to migrate. These findings contribute to the formulation of prevention, mitigation and resilience policies. El objetivo es analizar en el periodo 1990 a 2019 los efectos del clima y la tendencia de los individuos a dejar un territorio al medir el peso que tiene la precipitación o la falta de esta en el Corredor Seco de Centroamérica. Para estudiar este proceso se desarrolló un modelo estocástico de frontera. Se encontró como resultado principal que se tiene una mayor tendencia a migrar cuando se presenta una sequía, entendida como un evento extremo para el ambiente y la sociedad. Esta propensión se evalúa con un sistema que incluye una serie de controles como eventos climáticos extremos como El Niño (ENOS) y huracanes, niveles de violencia, economía y tipo de cambio, que lleva a concluir que la sequía por encima de otro evento climático motiva a la población a migrar. Estos hallazgos permiten contribuir en el planteamiento de políticas de prevención, mitigación y resiliencia para cada evento climático. Universidad Autónoma de Baja California 2024-02-27 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf text/html application/epub+zip text/xml text/html https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/1158 10.21670/ref.2403139 Estudios Fronterizos Revista; Vol. 25 (2024) Estudios Fronterizos; Vol. 25 (2024) 2395-9134 0187-6961 spa https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/1158/2588 https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/1158/2589 https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/1158/2590 https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/1158/2591 https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/1158/2592 Central American Dry Corridor 1990 a 2019 Corredor Seco de Centroamérica 1990 a 2019 Derechos de autor 2024 Estudios Fronterizos https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
institution Estudios Fronterizos
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language spa
format Online
author Fuerte Celis, María del Pilar
Bolaños Guerra, Bernardo
Olivera-Villarroel, Sazcha Marcelo
spellingShingle Fuerte Celis, María del Pilar
Bolaños Guerra, Bernardo
Olivera-Villarroel, Sazcha Marcelo
Drought: the silent evil of Central American migration in the period 1990 to 2019:
author_facet Fuerte Celis, María del Pilar
Bolaños Guerra, Bernardo
Olivera-Villarroel, Sazcha Marcelo
author_sort Fuerte Celis, María del Pilar
title Drought: the silent evil of Central American migration in the period 1990 to 2019:
title_short Drought: the silent evil of Central American migration in the period 1990 to 2019:
title_full Drought: the silent evil of Central American migration in the period 1990 to 2019:
title_fullStr Drought: the silent evil of Central American migration in the period 1990 to 2019:
title_full_unstemmed Drought: the silent evil of Central American migration in the period 1990 to 2019:
title_sort drought: the silent evil of central american migration in the period 1990 to 2019:
description The objective is to analyze in the period 1990 to 2019 the effects of climate and the tendency of individuals to leave a territory, measuring the weight of precipitation or lack thereof in the Central American Dry Corridor. To study this process, a stochastic frontier model was developed. As a primary result, it was found that there is a greater tendency to migrate when a drought occurs, understanding it as an extreme event for the environment and society. This tendency is evaluated with a system that includes series of controls such as other extreme weather events such as El Niño (ENSO) and hurricanes, violence levels, economy and exchange rate, which leads to the conclusion that drought above any other climatic event motivates the population to migrate. These findings contribute to the formulation of prevention, mitigation and resilience policies.
publisher Universidad Autónoma de Baja California
publishDate 2024
url https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/1158
_version_ 1797332401980964864

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