The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua

The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua

This research analyzes short–run gasoline consumption dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function arima analysis. This market is of interest because it is influenced by regional, national, and international economic conditions due...

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Bibliografski detalji
Glavni autori: Fullerton Jr, Thomas M., Muñoz Sapien, Gabriel, Barraza de Anda, Martha Patricia, Domínguez Ruvalcaba, Lisbeily
Format: Online
Jezik:spa
Izdano: Universidad Autónoma de Baja California 2012
Online pristup:https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/88
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Opis
Sažetak:This research analyzes short–run gasoline consumption dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function arima analysis. This market is of interest because it is influenced by regional, national, and international economic conditions due to its location on the border with the United States. Explanatory variables that satisfy the significance criterion include the real price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez, the price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez relative to that charged across the border in el Paso, Texas, USA, and formal sector employment in Ciudad Juárez. Out–of–sample simulations indicate that the model is relatively accurate for forecasts of to 1 to 24 months into the future.

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