The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua

The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua

This research analyzes short–run gasoline consumption dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function arima analysis. This market is of interest because it is influenced by regional, national, and international economic conditions due...

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Autores principales: Fullerton Jr, Thomas M., Muñoz Sapien, Gabriel, Barraza de Anda, Martha Patricia, Domínguez Ruvalcaba, Lisbeily
Formato: Online
Idioma:spa
Publicado em: Universidad Autónoma de Baja California 2012
Acesso em linha:https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/88
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spelling oai:ojs.localhost:article-882023-01-04T01:12:00Z The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua Dinámica del consumo de gasolina en Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua. Fullerton Jr, Thomas M. Muñoz Sapien, Gabriel Barraza de Anda, Martha Patricia Domínguez Ruvalcaba, Lisbeily Gasoline consumption border economics. Economics prices competition Consumption demand Econometrics economic cycles Geography tourism consumo de gasolina economía fronteriza. Economía Precios Competencia Consumo Demanda Ciclos económicos Econometría Geografía Turismo This research analyzes short–run gasoline consumption dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function arima analysis. This market is of interest because it is influenced by regional, national, and international economic conditions due to its location on the border with the United States. Explanatory variables that satisfy the significance criterion include the real price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez, the price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez relative to that charged across the border in el Paso, Texas, USA, and formal sector employment in Ciudad Juárez. Out–of–sample simulations indicate that the model is relatively accurate for forecasts of to 1 to 24 months into the future. Este estudio analiza la dinámica del consumo de la gasolina en la economía metropolitana de Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. El análisis se lleva a cabo con la estimación de parámetros con la metodología de funciones de transferencia lineales arima. Este mercado es de interés ya que se observan influencias de condiciones económicas regionales, nacionales e internacionales. Variables que resultan significativas incluyen el precio real de la gasolina en Ciudad Juárez, el precio de la gasolina en Ciudad Juárez en relación con el precio de El Paso, Texas, EE.UU., y el empleo en Ciudad Juárez. Simulaciones fuera de muestra indican que el modelo es relativamente preciso en las proyecciones de uno a 24 meses de longitud Universidad Autónoma de Baja California 2012-07-01 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Linear transfer functions (CTF) with moving averages and autoregressive components (ARIMA) Funciones de transferencia lineales ( FTL) con componentes autorregresivos y promedios móviles ( ARIMA) application/pdf text/html https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/88 10.21670/ref.2012.26.a04 Estudios Fronterizos Revista; Vol. 13 No. 26 (2012); 91-107 Estudios Fronterizos; Vol. 13 Núm. 26 (2012); 91-107 2395-9134 0187-6961 spa https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/88/140 https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/88/152 Derechos de autor 2014 Estudios Fronterizos, Revista de Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
institution Estudios Fronterizos
collection OJS
language spa
format Online
author Fullerton Jr, Thomas M.
Muñoz Sapien, Gabriel
Barraza de Anda, Martha Patricia
Domínguez Ruvalcaba, Lisbeily
spellingShingle Fullerton Jr, Thomas M.
Muñoz Sapien, Gabriel
Barraza de Anda, Martha Patricia
Domínguez Ruvalcaba, Lisbeily
The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua
author_facet Fullerton Jr, Thomas M.
Muñoz Sapien, Gabriel
Barraza de Anda, Martha Patricia
Domínguez Ruvalcaba, Lisbeily
author_sort Fullerton Jr, Thomas M.
title The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua
title_short The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua
title_full The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua
title_fullStr The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua
title_full_unstemmed The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua
title_sort fuel consumption increase in ciudad juarez, chihuahua
description This research analyzes short–run gasoline consumption dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function arima analysis. This market is of interest because it is influenced by regional, national, and international economic conditions due to its location on the border with the United States. Explanatory variables that satisfy the significance criterion include the real price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez, the price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez relative to that charged across the border in el Paso, Texas, USA, and formal sector employment in Ciudad Juárez. Out–of–sample simulations indicate that the model is relatively accurate for forecasts of to 1 to 24 months into the future.
publisher Universidad Autónoma de Baja California
publishDate 2012
url https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/88
_version_ 1792095192945262592

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