Application of a Duration Model in Programs for Prevention of University Attrition

Application of a Duration Model in Programs for Prevention of University Attrition

Institutional practices related to the prevention of desertion of university students increasingly require validated instruments in order to anticipate such behavior. In this regard, different statistical models generated from information related to the students themselves, their homes, their academ...

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Autori principali: Herrero, Verónica, Merlino, Aldo, Ayllón, Silvia, Escanés, Gabriel
Natura: Online
Lingua:spa
Pubblicazione: REDIE es una publicación del Instituto de Investigación y Desarrollo Educativo (IIDE). 2013
Accesso online:https://redie.uabc.mx/index.php/redie/article/view/554
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spelling redie-article-5542020-12-14T19:33:49Z Application of a Duration Model in Programs for Prevention of University Attrition Aplicación de un modelo de duración en programas de prevención de deserción universitaria Herrero, Verónica Merlino, Aldo Ayllón, Silvia Escanés, Gabriel University attrition Duration models Prediction of university stay. Deserción universitaria Modelos de duración Predicción de permanencia. Institutional practices related to the prevention of desertion of university students increasingly require validated instruments in order to anticipate such behavior. In this regard, different statistical models generated from information related to the students themselves, their homes, their academic performance, among other determinants have demonstrated to be of crucial value. This study aims to demonstrate the importance of a series of determinants explored in other studies. The main objective is to apply a dropout rate predictive model with at risk university students in order to generate early and progressively more effective results. The research demonstrates the usefulness of the duration models in a sample of classroom students and the capacity to anticipate behavior of permanence/attrition across time. This was done with risk estimates using the Cox model. Las prácticas institucionales vinculadas con la prevención de la deserción de una carrera universitaria requieren cada vez más de instrumentos validados que permitan anticipar tal comportamiento. En este sentido han demostrado utilidad decisiva distintos modelos estadísticos generados a partir de información referida a los propios estudiantes, sus hogares y su desempeño académico, entre otros determinantes. Este estudio pretende mostrar la importancia de una serie de determinantes exploradas en otros estudios: el objetivo principal es aplicar un modelo predictivo del riesgo de deserción de estudiantes universitarios a fin de generar resultados de manera temprana y progresivamente más eficaces. El trabajo exhibe la utilidad de los modelos de duración en una muestra de estudiantes presenciales, y la capacidad anticipatoria de los comportamientos de permanencia/deserción en el tiempo, a través de estimaciones de riesgo con un modelo de Cox en cuatro momentos de los primeros meses de universidad. REDIE es una publicación del Instituto de Investigación y Desarrollo Educativo (IIDE). 2013-12-15 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion text/html application/pdf https://redie.uabc.mx/index.php/redie/article/view/554 Revista Electrónica de Investigación Educativa; Vol. 15 No. 3 (2013) Revista Electrónica de Investigación Educativa; Vol. 15 Núm. 3 (2013) 1607-4041 spa https://redie.uabc.mx/index.php/redie/article/view/554/812 https://redie.uabc.mx/index.php/redie/article/view/554/838 Derechos de autor 2019 Revista Electrónica de Investigación Educativa
institution REDIE
collection OJS
language spa
format Online
author Herrero, Verónica
Merlino, Aldo
Ayllón, Silvia
Escanés, Gabriel
spellingShingle Herrero, Verónica
Merlino, Aldo
Ayllón, Silvia
Escanés, Gabriel
Application of a Duration Model in Programs for Prevention of University Attrition
author_facet Herrero, Verónica
Merlino, Aldo
Ayllón, Silvia
Escanés, Gabriel
author_sort Herrero, Verónica
title Application of a Duration Model in Programs for Prevention of University Attrition
title_short Application of a Duration Model in Programs for Prevention of University Attrition
title_full Application of a Duration Model in Programs for Prevention of University Attrition
title_fullStr Application of a Duration Model in Programs for Prevention of University Attrition
title_full_unstemmed Application of a Duration Model in Programs for Prevention of University Attrition
title_sort application of a duration model in programs for prevention of university attrition
description Institutional practices related to the prevention of desertion of university students increasingly require validated instruments in order to anticipate such behavior. In this regard, different statistical models generated from information related to the students themselves, their homes, their academic performance, among other determinants have demonstrated to be of crucial value. This study aims to demonstrate the importance of a series of determinants explored in other studies. The main objective is to apply a dropout rate predictive model with at risk university students in order to generate early and progressively more effective results. The research demonstrates the usefulness of the duration models in a sample of classroom students and the capacity to anticipate behavior of permanence/attrition across time. This was done with risk estimates using the Cox model.
publisher REDIE es una publicación del Instituto de Investigación y Desarrollo Educativo (IIDE).
publishDate 2013
url https://redie.uabc.mx/index.php/redie/article/view/554
_version_ 1715723540456538112

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